Arccos

CPPC Tournament 1 -- City Park GC

Date: Friday, April 4, 2026

Format: Stroke Play

Days Out: 9


Tournament Overview

First CPPC tournament of the season at City Park GC. You have 50 rounds of data here -- this is your home course and you know it well. Current projected handicap for April: 5.6.

Your average score at City Park: +7.6 (best: -4, worst: +13).


Course Stats at a Glance

Stat City Park GC All Courses
Rounds 50 --
Avg Score +7.6 +7.1
Best Round -4 --
GIR % 55.8% --
FW % 29.1% --
Avg Putts/Hole 1.93 --

Strokes Gained Breakdown (per 18 holes)

Category SG / 18 Verdict
Approach +0.09 Neutral -- this is fine
Driving -0.70 Bleeding ~1 stroke
Short Game -2.88 Major leak
Putting -3.77 Biggest problem by far
Total SG Leak -7.26 --

Putting and short game account for 92% of your strokes-gained loss at City Park. Approach is essentially neutral. Driving costs about a stroke but is not the priority this week.


Death Zones -- Top 3 Problem Holes

These are the holes destroying your scorecard. The goal is to eliminate the doubles.

Hole 2 -- Par 3

Stat Value
Avg vs Par +1.08
Doubles 15 out of 49 rounds (31%)
Worst Triple bogey

What's happening: You're making double on nearly 1 in 3 rounds. On a par 3, that means the tee shot is missing the green badly and the recovery is failing.

Strategy: Aim for the center of the green. Do not chase the pin. If you miss, take your medicine and chip to a safe spot where you can two-putt for bogey at worst. A bogey here is a win compared to your average.

Hole 5 -- Par 3

Stat Value
Avg vs Par +1.06
Doubles 15 out of 49 rounds (31%)
Worst Triple bogey

What's happening: Same pattern as hole 2 -- another par 3 with a 31% double rate. Par 3s are costing you the most strokes at City Park.

Strategy: Club up. Miss long or to the fat side of the green. Avoid short-siding yourself. If you're in trouble, pitch to the middle of the green and accept bogey.

Hole 4 -- Par 4

Stat Value
Avg vs Par +1.02
Doubles 13 out of 49 rounds (27%)
Best Par (you've never birdied this hole)
Worst Quadruple bogey

What's happening: You've never made birdie here. The worst blowups hit +4. This hole punishes aggression.

Strategy: Play for the center of the fairway off the tee, center of the green on approach. Par is a great score. Bogey is acceptable. The mission is to never see double here.


Birdie Opportunities -- Top 3

These are your best chances to go low. Attack these holes with confidence.

Hole 9 -- Par 5

Stat Value
Avg vs Par -0.10
Best Eagle (-2)
Birdie+ frequency Averaging better than par

Approach: This is your best hole on the course. You average under par here. Be aggressive with your second shot if you're in the fairway. Go for the green in two when the lie allows it.

Hole 3 -- Par 4

Stat Value
Avg vs Par 0.00
Best Birdie (-1)
Doubles 0 out of 49 rounds

Approach: Zero doubles in 49 rounds -- this is your most consistent hole. You're already making par. Push for birdie with a committed approach shot. You can afford to be aggressive because the downside here is minimal.

Hole 16 -- Par 5

Stat Value
Avg vs Par 0.00
Best Eagle (-2)
Times Played 19 (back 9 sample)

Approach: Another reachable par 5 where you average par. Similar strategy to hole 9 -- attack the green in two when the situation is right, and you should collect birdies.


Week-Before Practice Plan (Mar 27 -- Apr 3)

Based on your City Park SG data: putting is leaking -3.77 and short game is leaking -2.88 per round. That is where all of your practice time should go.

Priority 1: 5-10 Foot Putting (CRITICAL)

  • The problem: -2.6 SG per 18 holes from this range alone
  • Expected savings: 0.8 - 1.6 strokes per round
  • Drill: 10 putts from 6 feet, 10 from 8 feet, 10 from 10 feet. Track make percentage. Goal: 50%+ from 6 feet.
  • Time: 20 min per session, every day this week

Priority 2: Chipping from Rough (HIGH)

  • The problem: -1.84 SG per 18 holes
  • Expected savings: 0.6 - 1.1 strokes per round
  • Drill: Bump and run from greenside rough to a specific target. Vary the lie (sitting up, sitting down, against grain). Focus on distance control, not spin.
  • Time: 15 min per session, at least 4 days

Priority 3: Lag Putting 25+ Feet

  • The problem: Three-putts are adding up with 1.93 putts per hole
  • Drill: Putt to a towel from 30, 40, and 50 feet. Goal: get every putt within a 3-foot circle.
  • Time: 10 min per session, at least 3 days

Priority 4: Bunker Shots (MEDIUM)

  • The problem: -0.57 SG per 18 from sand
  • Drill: Open face, hit 2 inches behind the ball, accelerate through. 10 shots to a towel from a greenside bunker.
  • Time: 10 min, 2 days this week

What NOT to Practice This Week

  • Long irons and driver. Driving is only -0.70 SG and your approach game is actually positive (+0.09). Range sessions won't help as much as short game and putting.

Readiness Score

*58 / 100 -- "Getting There"*

Component Score Max Detail
Recent Form 19.3 25 Last 5 rounds avg +3.4
SG Trajectory 25.0 25 All 4 categories improving
Consistency 8.8 25 Stdev: 5.2 strokes
Weakness Impact 4.8 25 Total SG leak: 8.1/18h

Good news: All SG categories are trending in the right direction and your recent form (+3.4) is much better than your City Park average (+7.6).

Concern: Consistency is low. Your scores swing a lot (stdev 5.2). The goal for tournament day is to eliminate the big numbers, not to shoot your best round. Play within yourself.


Pressure Situations -- What Happens After Bad Holes

Previous Hole Next Hole Avg Birdie % Par % Bogey % Double+ %
Birdie +0.39 10.1% 53.4% 25.0% 11.5%
Par +0.44 11.6% 43.6% 33.7% 11.0%
Bogey +0.51 10.6% 43.0% 34.4% 12.0%
Double+ +0.64 11.0% 37.8% 33.0% 18.2%

Bounce-back rate after bogey: 54% (par or better on the next hole)

Bounce-back rate after double+: 49%

Key insight: After a double or worse, your chance of making another double jumps to 18.2% (vs 11% baseline). That is the cascade you must break. After a bad hole, the play is:

1. Take a breath. Walk slowly to the next tee.

2. Pick the safest target available.

3. Make a par. That is the only goal for the next hole.


Decision Framework -- When Fairway Matters

Your data shows something unusual: you actually perform slightly better from the rough than the fairway at most distances. This is likely a City Park effect (wide fairways, not much penalty rough).

Approach Distance FW Avg SG Rough Avg SG FW Advantage
0-50 yds -0.307 -0.270 -0.04 (rough better)
50-100 yds -0.227 -0.221 -0.01 (negligible)
100-150 yds -0.173 -0.107 -0.07 (rough better)
150-200 yds -0.124 -0.041 -0.08 (rough better)
200-250 yds +0.027 +0.112 -0.09 (rough better)

*What this means for tournament day:*

  • Fairway accuracy (29.1%) is low, but it is not killing you at City Park. The rough here is playable.
  • Do NOT change your driver strategy to chase fairways. Play your normal game off the tee.
  • The real damage happens around the green (putting -3.77, short game -2.88), not off the tee.

Weather Prep -- April in Denver

Historical conditions for early April at City Park:

Factor Typical Range
Temperature 40 - 60 F
Wind 10 - 20 mph, often gusty
Conditions Dry, firm, fast greens
Altitude 5,280 ft (ball carries 10-15% farther)

*Preparation:*

  • Layer up. Start with a vest or light jacket and be ready to strip down as it warms.
  • Wind club selection: take one extra club into the wind, one less downwind. Denver wind is deceptive.
  • Firm greens favor bump-and-run approach shots. This aligns with your short game practice this week.
  • Bring a beanie and hand warmers in the bag. Early April mornings can be in the low 40s.

Tournament Day Checklist

1. Warm up putting first. Spend 15 min on 5-10 footers before anything else.

2. Par the death zones. Holes 2, 4, and 5 -- play for the middle of the green. Bogey is fine. Double is not.

3. Attack the birdie holes. Holes 9, 3, and 16 -- these are where you go low.

4. Break the cascade after doubles. Walk slowly. Pick the safest target. Make par.

5. Ignore fairway accuracy. Play your normal tee shot. The rough at City Park is not hurting you.

6. Stay warm. Layers, hand warmers, stay loose between shots.


Generated from 50 rounds of Arccos data at City Park GC. Data as of March 26, 2026.